X-Message-Number: 10247 From: Date: Sat, 15 Aug 1998 21:01:30 EDT Subject: Book Review Book Review CHEATING DEATH CHEATING DEATH: the Promise and the Future Impact of Trying to Live Forever, by Marvin Cetron and Owen Davies, St. Martin's Press 1998, hardcover, 229 pp, $21.95 before discount. This is a shameless potboiler, with virtually nothing new in it and zero documentation. It consists mainly of statements like "By the year _____ there will be so-and-so many such-and-such." Statements that struck me as relatively interesting follow; I omit quotation marks and often paraphrase and compress. ------------ Calorie reduction (30% to 50%) in mice and rats extends life and reduces illness. Denkla removed the pituitary gland from aged rats, resulting in longer life and reduced disease--the one-horse-shay syndrome. Pierpaoli found that melatonin, administered at night, lengthened the lives of mice; daytime use did not help. Already-old mice lived longer (double the natural life span) when the pineals were replaced with pineals from young mice, but not when the old pineal was left in place. According to Medicare figures, half of all its medical expense is attributable to the last six months of life. Personal robots will appear in the home by 2005. The average life of a car in the U.S. soon will be 22 years. The design and marketing cycle in the 1940s was 30 or 40 years--now 30 or 40 weeks. Human chorionic gonadotropin (hCG) appears in all cancer cells tested thus far, and (in adults) only in cancer cells. This seems to promise a generalized cure for cancer. Artificial blood will be on the market by 2000, and could begin to replace blood banks by 2005. By 2001 there will not be enough adolescents to sustain the current number of colleges and universities. 80% of U.S. homes will have computers in 2005, compared to 35% now [1997?]. The ratio of men to women in the 20s age group was 93% in 1973; in 2000 it will be 103%. Only 29% of American men smoke, down from 52% twenty years ago. By 2005 oil prices will drop to $9/barrel and hold steady--even though demand will increase. New and safer fission reactors will grow in number, and fusion will become commercial by 2020. Soot and other particulates are much more dangerous to health than other air pollutants. By 2050, compared to today, technological knowledge will increase 100 fold. [Don't ask me what criterion they have in mind.] The technology gap between developed and developing countries will continue to widen. By 2010, telephone systems will translate in real time between English, French, German, and Japanese. By 2000, the European Community will have a population of 325 million with a GDP of $4 trillion. Quebec will secede from Canada in 2002 or 2003. The four eastern provinces will be absorbed into the U.S. a year or two later, and the rest of Canada by 2010. Robert Ettinger Cryonics Institute Immortalist Society http://www.cryonics.org Rate This Message: http://www.cryonet.org/cgi-bin/rate.cgi?msg=10247