X-Message-Number: 17943
From: "Pat Clancy" <>
Date: Thu, 15 Nov 2001 14:41:49 -0800
Subject: Re: My answers for Shawn...

> 
> I assume by "virtual" you mean uploading?  If so, I would put the date 

> around 2030, or maybe even much later.  But, then I consider uploading to be 
one

> of the more difficult technologies to be developed in the 21st century.  I 
could
> see uploading being developed most likely after a "singularity" has happened,

> and self-improving AI is on the job.  Most people now put the date for that at
> roughly 2025.  Predictors on the extrolist say they think it will happen much
> sooner now, rather then later.


I think you need to add a "0" to all your estimates (including cryonics revival)
-
 except for AI, where you can replace the number by "infinity".

You don't seriously believe there will be an uploading technology in 29 
years??! I've got $1000 that says there's no _inkling_ of an uploading 
technology in 2030 - or "AI" by 2025 for that matter.

Pat Clancy

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