X-Message-Number: 18953
Date: Mon, 22 Apr 2002 09:22:53 -0700 (PDT)
From: Scott Badger <>
Subject: Timing is Everything

> 2) on the Kurzweil-More estimated
> time of Singularity as being circa 2040-2060 A.D.,
> and 3) assuming that the
> Singularity will necessarily precede the development
> of mind uploading.
> 
> Of course, your mileage may vary.
> 
> Regards,
> Michael LaTorra

Actually, and I quote Ray K.:

"The conclusions that I draw from these analyses are
as follows. Even with the "conservative" assumptions,
we find that nonbiological intelligence crosses the
threshold of matching and then very quickly exceeds
biological intelligence (both hardware and software)
prior to 2030."

Max M. was more conservative suggesting it would be no
sooner than 2020 and no later than 2100 with 2050.

http://kurzweilai.net/meme/frame.html?m=1

I'm rooting for Ray! 

It's so utterly amazing to me that I (and so many like
me) find myself living this great adventure; actually
being here at this point in history. It's like I'm in
this foot race and radical life extension technologies
along with the promise of an indefinite life span are
either waiting just on this side ... or just on the
other side of the finish line.

It's really no different than having 3 months to live
from some cancer, and knowing that a cure will be
found in "about" 3 months. The drama may seem more
pronounced in the latter case, but that's an illusion.
Our situation is every bit as dramatic though we are
almost blind to it now. Wait until around 2025 and
everyone starts "getting" the fact that virtual
immortality is just around the bend.

This will be a game of inches for me and many of you.
If I can extend my life by even one year through
exercise and nutritional habits, my chances for
survival may increase dramatically. An extra five
years may make all the difference. So why can't I
develop healthier habits?  Aaargh!

Vita perpetua,

Scott Badger

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