X-Message-Number: 18953 Date: Mon, 22 Apr 2002 09:22:53 -0700 (PDT) From: Scott Badger <> Subject: Timing is Everything > 2) on the Kurzweil-More estimated > time of Singularity as being circa 2040-2060 A.D., > and 3) assuming that the > Singularity will necessarily precede the development > of mind uploading. > > Of course, your mileage may vary. > > Regards, > Michael LaTorra Actually, and I quote Ray K.: "The conclusions that I draw from these analyses are as follows. Even with the "conservative" assumptions, we find that nonbiological intelligence crosses the threshold of matching and then very quickly exceeds biological intelligence (both hardware and software) prior to 2030." Max M. was more conservative suggesting it would be no sooner than 2020 and no later than 2100 with 2050. http://kurzweilai.net/meme/frame.html?m=1 I'm rooting for Ray! It's so utterly amazing to me that I (and so many like me) find myself living this great adventure; actually being here at this point in history. It's like I'm in this foot race and radical life extension technologies along with the promise of an indefinite life span are either waiting just on this side ... or just on the other side of the finish line. It's really no different than having 3 months to live from some cancer, and knowing that a cure will be found in "about" 3 months. The drama may seem more pronounced in the latter case, but that's an illusion. Our situation is every bit as dramatic though we are almost blind to it now. Wait until around 2025 and everyone starts "getting" the fact that virtual immortality is just around the bend. This will be a game of inches for me and many of you. If I can extend my life by even one year through exercise and nutritional habits, my chances for survival may increase dramatically. An extra five years may make all the difference. So why can't I develop healthier habits? Aaargh! Vita perpetua, Scott Badger __________________________________________________ Do You Yahoo!? Yahoo! Games - play chess, backgammon, pool and more http://games.yahoo.com/ Rate This Message: http://www.cryonet.org/cgi-bin/rate.cgi?msg=18953