X-Message-Number: 20840
From: 
Date: Sun, 12 Jan 2003 10:39:35 EST
Subject: probability

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Tolen May asks about the probability of revival of cryonics patients.

On our web site there is a long discussion of this, based on the essay I 
wrote for my M.A. in math about 50 years ago. My conclusion is that, for most 
current patients  (taking into account only the technical problems and not 
sociological or business problems) the probability of revival is closer to 
100% than to zero. And if Dr. Pichugin's new vitrification method proves out 
this year, it may be closer to 100% than to 90%.

Robert Ettinger
Cryonics Institute
Immortalist Society
www.cryonics.org 

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