X-Message-Number: 21974 From: "Mark Plus" <> Subject: Finding the appropriate experts Date: Sat, 14 Jun 2003 08:59:58 -0700 In Message #21968, wrote, >I suggest that you consult the very well documented writings of the late >Julian L. Simon, e.g. The Ultimate Resource-2, Princeton Univ Press, 1996 or the more recent but equally well documented and , to me, highly persuasive writing of Bjorn Lomborg, The Skeptical Environmentalist, Cambridge Univ Press, 2001. Simon and Lomberg weren't trained in petroleum geology. Kenneth Deffeyes was, and he wrote a book about the oil situation having the appropriate expertise: Hubbert's Peak: The Impending World Oil Shortage http://www.amazon.com/exec/obidos/tg/detail/-/0691090866/ At last month's conference in Paris of the Association for the Study of Peak Oil, Deffeyes presented evidence that the curve in world oil production could very well have inflected in the year 2000, though the current worldwide recession/depression might be making the actual trend hard to observe: http://www.peakoil.net/iwood2003/abstracts/KennethDeffeyes.html Of course, if you think Simon and Lomberg understand the situation better than the people who work in the energy business for a living, maybe you should send copies of their books to that environmentalist doomsday radical, U.S. Energy Secretary Spencer Abraham. If Abraham sees the Light, he might cancel the "emergency meeting" he's scheduled for June 26 to deal with the natural gas shortage: http://news.google.com/news?hl=en&edition=usa&q=spencer+abraham+emergency+meeting For a conservative Republican, Abraham seems to lack confidence in the market's ability to solve this problem. The Bush Administration doesn't want this additional hassle by any means, considering that Bush wants to get re-elected next year. But the reality of depleting fossil fuels doesn't care about political ideology. Mark Plus _________________________________________________________________ Add photos to your e-mail with MSN 8. Get 2 months FREE*. http://join.msn.com/?page=features/featuredemail Rate This Message: http://www.cryonet.org/cgi-bin/rate.cgi?msg=21974