X-Message-Number: 29416
Date: Fri, 13 Apr 2007 11:41:50 -0700
From: Olaf Henny <>
Subject: Electric supply for CI and Alcor
References: <>

In Message #29412 David Stodolsky wrote in part in reply to 
Flavenoid's statement:

 And what exactly is the cryonics facility to do, when the 
electricity
> supply goes off?  Apparently you think it will continue no 
> matter
> how hot
> it gets in Phoenix?  Maybe, maybe not.  Of course generators 
> could be
> used, until there is no longer any place left open from which 
> to
> purchase
> the fossil fuels needed to run them. 

 There is no evidence whatsoever to support a statement of this 
type.
Current high oil prices are a direct result of having and oil man 
in the
Whitehouse. Starting a war in a an oil supplying region is one 
way to
drive up prices 



World oil prices are affected by two factors, the psychological 
one and the substantive one.



The PSYCHLOGICAL one is caused by such things like saber 
rattling, - by your man in the White House, when he sends his 
fleet in the Persian Gulf and by the mini-Hitler in Teheran, when 
he puffs up his chest about his nuclear capabilities.  The price 
impact of both only lasts for days or weeks at the most.  In the 
long run the price is only determined by the

 SUBSTANTIVE cause.  That of course is one of supply and demand 
and has at present little to do with Bush's antics in Iraq.  The 
Iraqi oil export was previously severely curtailed by the embargo 
and is now limited by fighting, sabotage and dilapidated infra 
structure.  So the Bush   Cheney factor is in essence close to 
neutral, as far as world oil supply is concerned.  The real 
driving causes behind the world oil prices are:

-          The thriving economies of almost all of South- and 
South East Asia, which have GDP growth between 5 and 10% annually 
and an even greater increase in energy demand.

-          The OPEC cartel, which has now learned, that the world 
economy can quite nicely survive an oil price of $70.-/bbl.

-          Dwindling oil reserves and rapidly increasing 
exploration costs in the politically reliable North Sea and 
elsewhere (Shell has just admitted to overestimating their 
reserves.

Alcor and CI will, no doubt have to convert to renewable energy. 
When to do that is largely a political decision.  To do it sooner 
would probably help to gather brownie points in the future,  to 
do it later would probably have the advantage of improved 
technology/efficiency and lower costs.

In Germany they started taking down their wind generators, 
shipping and selling them to developing countries, chiefly in 
eastern Europe for huge discounts and replacing them with new 
installation, which are 30% more efficient.  Likewise solar 
panels are becoming thinner, cheaper and due to greater 
flexibility, more damage resistant.



Best,

Olaf

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