X-Message-Number: 31999 Date: Thu, 24 Sep 2009 08:28:57 -0400 Subject: Technological innovation progress graphing tool released...fr... From: Rudi Hoffman <> --001636833dfcb86b75047451f9f6 Hello, Fellow Cryoneters, Following the recent threads on Cryonet, the subject of tech progress is obviously relevant to the readers of this list. Bela Nagy is a professor and researcher at the world famous Santa Fe Institute think tank. He will be presenting at the Singularity Summit this Oct. in New York, and I have been in contact with him about signing up for cryonics. The focus of his research is on point for this list. As I understand it, he does research and conducts seminars seeking to answer the question, "to what extent can we model technological progress and then project this forward accurately into the future?" No doubt my friend Mark Plus will observe how crappy our present is compared to where some techno-utopians of the past projected...and these past inaccuracies are indeed relevant to the kind of progress we all MUST have to make cryonics...and other components of a great future...reality based, not faith based. Anyway, Nagy has developed a graphing system, made available for free, to help determine if all the gorgeous exponential curves we are all familiar with from reading Kurzwiel are applicable to things we care about. I will copy part of his email to me with the links here: I hope folks smarter than me can play with this and upload data sets --relevant to our seeing the year three thousand--and find this a helpful tool. (small copied section follows) Hi Rudi, I'm happy to announce that we've just launched the pre-alpha release of our web enabled experimental database at http://pcdb.santafe.edu/ The next step is to promote it and let people know that they can upload and download their datasets for free. This is my first attempt in that direction: http://www.davidorban.com/2009/09/the-performance-curve-database-at-the-santa-fe-institute/en/ I'd be extremely grateful to you if you could forward this to people who you think might have relevant data or who might be interested in collaborating with us to model the dynamics of technological innovation. Thank you, Bela Nagy (505) 946-2729 http://www.santafe.edu/profiles/?pid=355 -- Rudi Richard Hoffman CFP CLU ChFC World's Leading Cryonics Insuror rudihoffman.com Former Board Member Financial Planning Association fpafla.com Board Member Salvation Army salvationarmy.org Member Alcor Life Extension Foundation alcor.org, Member Cryonics Institute cryonics.org Certified Financial Planner(TM) CFP Board of Standards Member World Transhumanist Association http://transhumanism.org/ --001636833dfcb86b75047451f9f6 Content-Type: text/html; charset=ISO-8859-1 [ AUTOMATICALLY SKIPPING HTML ENCODING! ] Rate This Message: http://www.cryonet.org/cgi-bin/rate.cgi?msg=31999