X-Message-Number: 5634 Date: Fri, 19 Jan 1996 09:08:51 -0500 (EST) From: Robin Helweg-Larsen <> Subject: Re: Chances of Revival I put my chances of being successfully frozen at 80% (because I travel a lot, and because I've seen how wrong things can go for someone like Rob Michels who did most things right); and, if frozen, at 80% that I'll be successfully revived. In other words, I believe I'm more likely than not to make it into Indefinite Lifespan. 80% revival chances may seem high, but it seems logical to me that there is NO QUESTION that suspension, revival, rejuvenation, etc will be fully operable within 1,000 years. Therefore a perfect wholebody suspension of a young person in good health except for some fatal accident or easily-cured problem may allow (imperfect) revival within 100 years. A half-decent whole-body suspension of someone with a lot of physical problems should allow perfect revival within 200 years. And ultimately (1000 years, say) our gray matter will create whole new gray areas of identity, as creative reconstruction will allow traces of the brain to produce a whole mind which will not be entirely the same as the original, but not entirely different either (Thomas Donaldson has written a wonderful short story on this theme). I am 100% expecting revival to be operational within 200 years, but because of all the things that can wrong in individual circumstances, I reduce the chance of my own revival to 80%. Always optimistically, Robin HL Rate This Message: http://www.cryonet.org/cgi-bin/rate.cgi?msg=5634