X-Message-Number: 8391 Date: Fri, 18 Jul 1997 13:59:35 -0400 (EDT) From: The Hitman <> Subject: Odds To start with I'd like to agree with the people who are saying that there is no way to know realistically what the odds are of being revived. Just looking at the desparity between estimates shows it is a rather useless exercise. In this discussion though I did key on to something that is interesting. Even assuming an intermediate chance of say 1 in 10 000 000 this number could be used for marketing of cryonics. As Kennita put it in one posting if you don't buy a ticketyou can't win. Look at all the people who buy lottery tickets with the idea that they could win thus improving their lives (at least thats what they believe). Well as I'm sure you all know the odds of winning the jackpot in a 6/49 style lottery (six correct of 6 drawn out of 49 numbers) is just under 1 in 14 000 000. Thus assuming as I did earlier the odds of cryonic working at 1 in 10 mill. its better than winning the lottery. Of coarse the cost is about 100 000 times as much as buying a lottery ticket but I would say that the reward is many times greater than that (and you don't have to worry about splitting the prize!). So to those who are saying the odds aren't good enough to sign up for cryonics yet, let me ask did you ever buy a lottery ticket? By the way its nice to see the number of postings per day back to a higher level I was starting to wonder where everyone had gone. Brett ------------------------------------------------ Brett Corlett Faculty of Engineering, Carleton University Suspension and Steering Team Leader, Formula SAE Rate This Message: http://www.cryonet.org/cgi-bin/rate.cgi?msg=8391