X-Message-Number: 9081
Date: Sun, 1 Feb 1998 18:25:58 -0500 (EST)
From: Charles Platt <>
Subject: Probabilities

I'm puzzled by Robert Ettinger's claims about probability. 
I'll call CI tomorrow and will order his booklet on this 
subject, which I haven't read. In the meantime, I wonder if 
he would explain how he can estimate, for instance, the 
probability of backlash against cryonics (similar to the 
backlash we have seen against cloning), which could result in 
legislation outlawing the procedure, or at least regulating 
it, which could drive cryonics organizations (as currently 
constituted) out of business. I don't see how anyone can come 
up with a standard deviation re the probability of future 
social trends that could trigger legislative action. Since I 
regard this as a fairly important potential problem affecting 
my chances of resuscitation, I believe that any estimate that 
ignores this would be of little value to me. 
 
--Charles Platt 

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