X-Message-Number: 7213
Date: Fri, 22 Nov 1996 11:25:11 +0100
From: John de Rivaz <>
Subject: Re: Scientific Method
Reading the debate on the nature of Scientific Method, an interesting thought
came to me about peer review.
Isn't this dangerously close to try to acertain the truth using democracy?
Richard Dawkins gave an excellent illustration of this in a lecture once by
showing a map of the world and suggesting that everyone in Asia votes that
dinosaurs existed and everyone in the Americas voted that they didn't. He
then asked his audience how much this helps us with answering the question as
to whether they really did exist.
All peer review does is to get some votes from a smaller population.
Admittedly they are informed votes, but even then they can still be worng -
articles on scientifically silly subjects do appear from time to time.
The difficulty between hard science ("If you can't get different groups in
different labs repeating the experiment then the result you claim isn't
true") and cryonics is that at this point in time we have only done half the
experiment. The very nature of the process requires time for technology to
catch up and unfreeze patients. Different groups are doing the experiment,
these are the different cryonics organisations. The experiment won't be
finished for decades, even centuries. But only when it is will it be possible
to judge the different protocols.
And then there are sociological issues. Maybe a cheaper process will have a
higher failure rate for technical reasons, but because many more people can
use it, and as less money is involved fewer cases will be contested, it will
actually get greater numbers through.
--
Sincerely, ****************************************
* Publisher of Longevity Report *
John de Rivaz * Fractal Report *
* details on request *
****************************************
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